edatoakrun wrote:Pathetic effort so far, with only development prototypes having been delivered at a fraction of the production output Nissan managed in 2010-11, with the pioneering LEAF roll out.
Okay, let's fact check that statement.
Worldwide Nissan LEAF sales:
Oct 2010: 12
Nov 2010: 5
Dec 2010: 21
Jan 2011: 88
Feb 2011: 2660
Mar 2011: 326
Apr 2011: 625
May 2011: 1209
So after the first 4 months of production (basically where we are at now with the Model 3), Nissan sold 126 LEAFs. Compared to the 367 (estimated -- 220 known in the first 3 months), the fraction
you are talking about would be 122/42. If Tesla's effort has been pathetic
, what are we to call Nissan's effort during that time which was only 34% of that?
Now for sure, they did get things rolling quite nicely in their 5th month. And while I don't expect Tesla to roll out anywhere near 2.6K vehicles this month, indications are that things are starting to pick up quite a bit. And even if it takes an extra month to get up to the pace that Nissan finally achieved, I have a feeling you are going to look a bit silly comparing Nissan production rates with Tesla's.
edatoakrun wrote:Of Course, in 2011 Nissan only had to deal with a major earthquake and Tsunami, While the Model 3 output has to overcome bungling by TSLA management...
Yes, the earthquake/tsunami hit in March 2011, and you can see that Nissan's numbers subsequently took a hit. Basically it disrupted manufacturing by about 3 months. If Tesla's problems persist and there is NO progress made towards improving production rates, then your point is valid. Conversely if they clear the log jams in the system and go on to achieve a mostly unprecedented (and certainly for EVs) ramp rate, then again, you risk looking silly.
Do you have any specific evidence of "bungling" to support your thesis? About all I can think of is Elon's overpromising of the ramp rate. Other that, it's fairly presumptuous to assume that there is actual bungling going on and that this is nothing more than a typical bring up.