It's hard to say what the future brings, but almost every scenario points to the Gen1 Leaf being practically worthless in a few years.
SageBrush wrote:The day I bought my used LEAF I figured the resale value is zero and I would not have purchased the car if I had any expectations of selling it in the future. OTOH I *do* expect the car to work well for us at least five years.
Unfortunately, the LEAF is a throw-away car. If I'm really fortunate the battery and its electronics get recycled into a home system.
I bought mine off lease, when they offered me an extra $5k off residual. This was my thought too. I figure that by buying the car, I can wait until I am ready to upgrade rather than being forced by a cycle of leasing. I also calculated the cost of a new 3-year lease. At the time, it would have only saved me about $2k from just buying. So now if the car is worth $2k at 6 years old, I'm golden.
I probably won't try to sell in my market. There isn't much demand for a 25-mile (in the winter, with degradation) car around here, despite the low running costs. I will ask about trade-in, but probably won't do that unless it's at least 3-4k (ha!).
I'm thinking I'll keep it as a winter rat. In New York, you can withdraw a car from use for a season and cut insurance almost to 0. No need to turn in the plates. So if I go back and forth between two cars, the extra insurance is basically zero.
When I'm tired of that, I may just tear it apart and put the battery cells in my sailboat. I already use an electric outboard, with a measly 0.52kWh battery. The upgrade would be very nice.