GRA
Posts: 8884
Joined: Mon Sep 19, 2011 1:49 pm
Location: East side of San Francisco Bay

Re: Why is the LEAF pulling away from the Volt?

Mon May 07, 2018 7:32 pm

April's U.S. sales total for semi-affordable sub-$40k MSRP PEVs [Note: IEVS has now provided hard numbers for everyone except Tesla and GM, and I've corrected many of the figures, noted by an *]:

BEV, 3,202 (Mar 4,228), 31.5% (Mar 34.6%): (9 types: Bolt; LEAF; 500e; e-Golf; Soul EV; Focus Electric; Ionic BEV; Clarity BEV; Smart ED).
PHEV, 6,948 (Mar 7,992), 68.5% (Mar 65.4%): (12 types: Prius Prime; Volt; Clarity PHEV; Fusion Energi; Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV, C-Max Energi; A3 E-tron; Kia Niro PHEV; Mini Countryman PHV; Optima PHV; Sonata PHEV; Ionic PHEV)
Total 10,150 (Mar 12,220). BEV/PHEV % decreased/increased by 3.1%.

I'm no longer going to bother listing sales of each car, only the leader in each category and any others with monthly sales over 1k., with the preceding month's sales in ( ):

Best sellers:

PHEV: Prius Prime @ 2,626 (2,922); Volt 1,325 (1,782); Clarity 1,049 (1,061).
BEV: Bolt @ 1,275 (1,774); LEAF 1,171 (1,500).

Anyone interested in a particular vehicle not mentioned should check the monthly chart at IEVS: https://insideevs.com/monthly-plug-in-sales-scorecard/

April's U.S. sales total for affordable sub-$30k MSRP PEVs:

BEV, 1,341* (1,800), 31.0% (34.1%): (4 types: LEAF; Focus Electric; IONIQ BEV, Smart ED)
PHEV, 2,983* (3,472), 69.0% (65.9%): (4 types: Prius Prime; Kia Niro PHEV; Hyundai Ionic PHEV; C-Max Energi)

Total 4,480 (5,272). Increase/decrease of 0.0% for BEV/PHEV market share, respectively.

Best sellers:

PHEV, Prius Prime @ 2,626 (2,922).
BEV, Bolt @ 1,275 (1,774).


The Smart ED (maybe the Spark was too) has been the only PEV with an MSRP below $25k, and while I've always thought that it was so limited in appeal it wasn't worth separating it out, it now has some competition in that price category, the Ionic PHEV. So, without further ado:

March's U.S. sales total for very affordable sub-$25k MSRP PEVs:

BEV, 80 (103), 30.8% (32.1%*): (1 type, Smart ED).
PHEV, 180 (218*), 69.2% (67.9%): (1 type, Ionic PHEV).

Total 260* (321*).

*corrected number.
Guy [I have lots of experience designing/selling off-grid AE systems, some using EVs but don't own one. Local trips are by foot, bike and/or rapid transit].

The 'best' is the enemy of 'good enough'. Copper shot, not Silver bullets.

GRA
Posts: 8884
Joined: Mon Sep 19, 2011 1:49 pm
Location: East side of San Francisco Bay

Re: Why is the LEAF pulling away from the Volt?

Mon Jun 04, 2018 5:49 pm

May's U.S. sales total for semi-affordable sub-$40k MSRP PEVs [Note: numbers followed by an asterisk indicate an IEVS estimate]:

BEV, 3,427 (Apr 3,202), 29.2% (Apr 31.5%): (9 types: Bolt; LEAF; 500e; e-Golf; Soul EV; Focus Electric; Ionic BEV; Clarity BEV; Smart ED).
PHEV, 8,323 (Apr 6,948), 70.8% (Apr 68.5%): (12 types: Prius Prime; Volt; Clarity PHEV; Fusion Energi; Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV, C-Max Energi; A3 E-tron; Kia Niro PHEV; Mini Countryman PHV; Optima PHV; Sonata PHEV; Ionic PHEV)
Total 11,750 (Apr 10,150). BEV/PHEV % decreased/increased by 2.3% (Apr down/up 3.1%).

I'm no longer going to bother listing sales of each car, only the leader in each category and any others with monthly sales over 1k., with the preceding month's sales in ( ):

Best sellers:

PHEV: Prius Prime @ 2,924 (Apr 2,626); Volt 1,675* (Apr 1,325*); Clarity 1,639 (Apr 1,049).
BEV: LEAF @1,576 (Apr 1,171); Bolt @ 1,125* (1,275*); LEAF.

Anyone interested in a particular vehicle not mentioned should check the monthly chart at IEVS: https://insideevs.com/monthly-plug-in-sales-scorecard/

May's U.S. sales total for affordable sub-$30k MSRP PEVs:

BEV, 1,802 (Apr 1,341), 34.8% (Apr 31.0%): (4 types: LEAF; Focus Electric; IONIQ BEV, Smart ED)
PHEV, 3,377 (Apr 2,983), 65.2% (Apr 69.0%): (4 types: Prius Prime; Kia Niro PHEV; Hyundai Ionic PHEV; C-Max Energi)

Total 5,179 (Apr 4,480). Increase/decrease of 3.8.% for BEV/PHEV market share, respectively.

Best sellers:

PHEV, Prius Prime @ 2,924 (2,626).
BEV, LEAF@ 1,576 (1,171).


The Smart ED (maybe the Spark was too) has been the only PEV with an MSRP below $25k, and while I've always thought that it was so limited in appeal it wasn't worth separating it out, it now has some competition in that price category, the Ionic PHEV. So, without further ado:

May's U.S. sales total for very affordable sub-$25k MSRP PEVs:

BEV, 110 (80), 33.6% (30.8%): (1 type, Smart ED).
PHEV, 217 (180), 66.4% (69.2%): (1 type, Ionic PHEV).

Total 327 (260).
Guy [I have lots of experience designing/selling off-grid AE systems, some using EVs but don't own one. Local trips are by foot, bike and/or rapid transit].

The 'best' is the enemy of 'good enough'. Copper shot, not Silver bullets.

GRA
Posts: 8884
Joined: Mon Sep 19, 2011 1:49 pm
Location: East side of San Francisco Bay

Re: Why is the LEAF pulling away from the Volt?

Mon Jul 30, 2018 12:48 pm

June's U.S. sales total for semi-affordable sub-$40k MSRP PEVs [Note: numbers followed by an asterisk indicate an IEVS estimate]:

BEV, 3,113 (May 3,427), 30.7% (May 29.2%): (9 types: Bolt; LEAF; 500e; e-Golf; Soul EV; Focus Electric; Ioniq BEV; Clarity BEV; Smart ED).
PHEV, 7,036 (May 8,323), 69.3% (May 70.8%): (12 types: Prius Prime; Volt; Clarity PHEV; Fusion Energi; Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV, C-Max Energi; A3 E-tron; Kia Niro PHEV; Mini Countryman PHV; Optima PHV; Sonata PHEV; Ioniq PHEV)
Total 10,149 (May 11,750). BEV/PHEV % increased/decreased by 1.5% (May down/up 2.3%).

I'm no longer going to bother listing sales of each car, only the leader in each category and any others with monthly sales over 1k, with the preceding month's sales in ( ):

Best sellers:

PHEV: Prius Prime @ 2,237 (May 2,924); Clarity 1,445 (May 1,639); Volt 1,336 (May 1,675*).
BEV: LEAF @1,367 (May 1,576); Bolt @ 1,083 (May 1,125*).

Entries followed by an asterisk are estimates of monthly production as GM only reports every quarter now. Anyone interested in a particular vehicle not mentioned should check the monthly chart at IEVS: https://insideevs.com/monthly-plug-in-sales-scorecard/

The Clarity outsold the Volt for the first time.


May's U.S. sales total for affordable sub-$30k MSRP PEVs:

BEV, 1,590 (May 1,802), 37.4% (May 34.8%): (4 types: LEAF; Focus Electric; Ionic BEV, Smart ED)
PHEV, 2,667 (May 3,377), 62.6% (May 65.2%): (4 types: Prius Prime; Kia Niro PHEV; Hyundai Ioniq PHEV; C-Max Energi)

Total 4,257 (May 5,179). Increase/decrease of 2.6% for BEV/PHEV market share, respectively.

Best sellers:

PHEV, Prius Prime @ 2,237 (May 2,924).
BEV, LEAF@ 1,367 (May 1,576).


The Smart ED (maybe the Spark was too) has been the only PEV with an MSRP below $25k, and while I've always thought that it was so limited in appeal it wasn't worth separating it out, it now has some competition in that price category, the Ionic PHEV. So, without further ado:

May's U.S. sales total for very affordable sub-$25k MSRP PEVs:

BEV, 126 (May 110), 46.8% (May 33.6%): (1 type, Smart ED).
PHEV, 143 (May 217), 53,4% (May 66.4%): (1 type, Ioniq PHEV).

Total 269 (May 327).

A big drop for the Ioniq PHEV last month.
Guy [I have lots of experience designing/selling off-grid AE systems, some using EVs but don't own one. Local trips are by foot, bike and/or rapid transit].

The 'best' is the enemy of 'good enough'. Copper shot, not Silver bullets.

GRA
Posts: 8884
Joined: Mon Sep 19, 2011 1:49 pm
Location: East side of San Francisco Bay

Re: Why is the LEAF pulling away from the Volt?

Thu Aug 16, 2018 4:32 pm

July's U.S. sales total for semi-affordable sub-$40k MSRP PEVs [Note: numbers followed by an asterisk indicate an IEVS estimate]:

BEV, 2,996 (June 3,113), 30.7% (June 30.7%): (9 types: Bolt; LEAF; 500e; e-Golf; Soul EV; Focus Electric; Ioniq BEV; Clarity BEV; Smart ED).
PHEV, 6,760 (June 7,036), 69.3% (May 70.8%): (12 types: Prius Prime; Volt; Clarity PHEV; Fusion Energi; Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV, C-Max Energi; A3 E-tron; Kia Niro PHEV; Mini Countryman PHV; Optima PHV; Sonata PHEV; Ioniq PHEV)
Total 9,756 (June 10,149). BEV/PHEV % unchanged (June down/up 2.3%).

I'm no longer going to bother listing sales of each car, only the leader in each category and any others with monthly sales over 1k, with the preceding month's sales in ( ):

Best sellers:

PHEV: Prius Prime @ 1,984 (June 2,237); Clarity 1,440 (June 1,445); Volt 1,475* (June 1,336*).
BEV: Bolt @ 1,175* (June 1,083*); LEAF @1,149 (June 1,367).

Entries followed by an asterisk are estimates of monthly production as GM only reports every quarter now. Anyone interested in a particular vehicle not mentioned should check the monthly chart at IEVS: https://insideevs.com/monthly-plug-in-sales-scorecard/

The Volt just retook 2nd place from the Clarity, after the latter outsold it for the first time in June. e-Golf sales really dropped off, to 18.


June's U.S. sales total for affordable sub-$30k MSRP PEVs:

BEV, 1,333 (June 1,590), 35.8% (June 37.4%): (4 types: LEAF; Focus Electric; Ioniq BEV, Smart ED)
PHEV, 2,393 (June 2,667), 64.2% (June 62.6%): (4 types: Prius Prime; Kia Niro PHEV; Hyundai Ioniq PHEV; C-Max Energi)

Total 3,726 (June 4,257). decrease/increase of 1.6% for BEV/PHEV market share, respectively.

Best sellers:

PHEV, Prius Prime @ 1,984 (June 2,237).
BEV, LEAF@ 1,149 (June 1,367).


The Smart ED (maybe the Spark was too) has been the only PEV with an MSRP below $25k, and while I've always thought that it was so limited in appeal it wasn't worth separating it out, it now has some competition in that price category, the Ionic PHEV. So, without further ado:

May's U.S. sales total for very affordable sub-$25k MSRP PEVs:

BEV, 103 (June 126), 36.4% (June 46.8%): (1 type, Smart ED).
PHEV, 180 (June 143), 63.6% (June 53.2%): (1 type, Ioniq PHEV).

Total 283 (June 269).
Guy [I have lots of experience designing/selling off-grid AE systems, some using EVs but don't own one. Local trips are by foot, bike and/or rapid transit].

The 'best' is the enemy of 'good enough'. Copper shot, not Silver bullets.

User avatar
RegGuheert
Posts: 6252
Joined: Mon Mar 19, 2012 4:12 am
Delivery Date: 16 Mar 2012
Leaf Number: 5926
Location: Northern VA

Re: Why is the LEAF pulling away from the Volt?

Fri Aug 17, 2018 5:11 am

Meanwhile, back on planet Earth, we see that BEVs outsold PHEVs by a MORE THAN a 2:1 margin in July in the US:
InsideEVs wrote:Pure Electric Car Market Share vs PHEV In July*

BEV – 20,111
PHEV – 9,403

*Based on estimates due to the lack of U.S. monthly sales reporting by Tesla and GM, as well as BMW i3 splits (BEV + REx).
Back on topic I must admit that my prognostications for the LEAF versus the Volt for this year have been completely wrong: Out of all the months in 2018, the Nissan LEAF only outsold the Chevy Volt in June, and that was only by a handful. (interestingly, the Volt is also outselling the Bolt this year.)
RegGuheert
2011 Leaf SL Demo vehicle
10K miles: Apr 14, 2013, 20K miles (55.7Ah): Aug 7, 2014, 30K miles (52.0Ah): Dec 30, 2015, 40K miles (49.8Ah): Feb 8, 2017, 50K miles (47.2Ah): Dec 7, 2017.
Enphase Inverter Measured MTBF: M190, M215, M250, S280

GRA
Posts: 8884
Joined: Mon Sep 19, 2011 1:49 pm
Location: East side of San Francisco Bay

Re: Why is the LEAF pulling away from the Volt?

Fri Aug 17, 2018 3:24 pm

RegGuheert wrote:Meanwhile, back on planet Earth, we see that BEVs outsold PHEVs by a MORE THAN a 2:1 margin in July in the US:
InsideEVs wrote:Pure Electric Car Market Share vs PHEV In July*

BEV – 20,111
PHEV – 9,403

*Based on estimates due to the lack of U.S. monthly sales reporting by Tesla and GM, as well as BMW i3 splits (BEV + REx).
Back on topic I must admit that my prognostications for the LEAF versus the Volt for this year have been completely wrong: Out of all the months in 2018, the Nissan LEAF only outsold the Chevy Volt in June, and that was only by a handful. (interestingly, the Volt is also outselling the Bolt this year.)

On planet Earth, what % of those BEVs were $49k and up, ~$13k over the average new car transaction price, and at least $9k over the $40k semi-affordable limit of the list? In other news, early adopters of expensive high tech have incomes which are disproportionately skewed above the median national average. People who buy premium-priced cars tend to be those who can afford them. Meanwhile,
Average New Vehicle Cost is $36,000+ And Loan Delinquencies Are Up
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidkiley5/2018/05/30/average-new-vehicle-cost-is-36000-and-loan-delinquencies-are-up/#46fadcf51e84

Most Americans can't afford a new car, study finds
Experts cite the rising price of vehicles and the anemic growth of household incomes
https://www.consumeraffairs.com/news/most-americans-cant-afford-a-new-car-study-finds-062817.html
Guy [I have lots of experience designing/selling off-grid AE systems, some using EVs but don't own one. Local trips are by foot, bike and/or rapid transit].

The 'best' is the enemy of 'good enough'. Copper shot, not Silver bullets.

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