But I wouldn't be surprised if it reached an annual sales rate of ~100k worldwide in the first year after production reaches full speed in all three factories.
So, I'll guess ~50k produced for the 2018 MY, and the first ~100k Gen two LEAFs sold by 4/1/19.
Nissan's new Leaf puts reality before romanticism
TOKYO -- Nissan Motor's revamped Leaf, its signature fully-electric car, is slated to go on sale in Japan on Monday.
The new model from an automaker that calls itself an electric-car leader has a sales target of 100,000 or so units a year. The number does not sound particularly ambitious, considering that rival Tesla's latest Model 3 attracted 500,000 or so orders.
Behind Nissan's moderate attitude is a bitter lesson of struggling to balance the dream and the reality of pushing the next-generation vehicles.
"Sustainability is the most essential thing for a business," said Hideyuki Sakamoto, executive vice president of the automaker. "Nissan isn't a gambler." The comment was an indication that the automaker would not try to sell as many Leafs as possible by offering low prices...
While adequately featuring state-of-the-art technology, Nissan made the most of parts from the previous Leaf to achieve the desired cost-profitability balance for the revamped version.
"The new Leaf is not a loss-making model," said a Nissan executive...
https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Compan ... ism?page=1
In comparison, it took Nissan over three years to sell 100k Gen one LEAFs:
When will LEAF sales reach 100,000?