I kinda think some of the "cost for a new battery pack" math is a little fuzzy. I totally agree that we should see lower prices for replacement packs as the tech becomes more mainstream, and that the cost of replacement seems like a deliberate design for obsolescence, BUT i think if we are arguing that the car itself requires almost zero maintenance and a new back pretty much equals a new car (assuming it isnt rusted out or something) then we shouldn't really be comparing the cost of new pack to the list value of a LEAF with that age, but rather compare it to the value of replacing it with a similar new or only slightly used car. I would argue, that even at $8500, you would be very hard pressed to find a comparable ICE or hybrid without SERIOUS mileage on the drivetrain. Further, i would argue that when considering the potential $8500 replacement cost, one must first deduct the savings of virtually zero maintenance prior to replacement. When looked at in that light, while i still take issue with the cost of replacement, it seems far more palatable. Even if you bought a used LEAF for say $8k that IMMEDIATELY needed a replacement battery, you are still talking $16-17k for basically a new car, cause there is nothing else in there...There isn't a better priced hatchback on the market today that i know of - and certainly not one that you could operate for less $. Now, if we are instead comparing only to other BEVs, that's different of course, but they also cost much more...
I design high performance buildings for a living that tend to be all-electric and use a tiny fraction of the energy typically required to heat/cool. When an owner moves in, i invariably get an email after one month shocked at how much higher their electric bill is than in their old building, COMPLETELY forgetting that they are no longer also paying for oil/propane/natural gas/etc. It seems there is a bit of this here.
2013 SL Super Black | 54,300 miles | 12 bars
AHr - 57.01 | SOH - 87.17%