WetEV wrote:GRA wrote:It's my personal bias that 7 years after production PEVs were introduced here, they've only just reached 1% of U.S. sales despite large continuing subsidies?
I suspect you will be whining about how PEVs are only 4% of USA sales in 4 more years...
If that's as far as they've gotten by then, I'll certainly be disappointed - I'm hoping for at least 5% by 2022 if the shift to BEVs isn't well underway by then, but that will be dependent on the growth and affordability of the charging infrastructure. I've got my fingers crossed that Electrify America won't suffer any major holdups, and that public charging can be made profitable.
My main expectation for this year is that U.S. BEV sales will finally cross the 1% barrier by themselves, assuming the Model 3 lifts rather than kills Tesla. I think the former's more likely than the latter, but now that volatility has returned to the economy, who knows?