You're close. 43.3 Ahr is the median for 9th bar loss. But Leafs seldom lose a bar when battery is cold. I think you'll lose the bar in April or May. Judging from the serial number, you still have some time on the capacity warranty, which is a good thing.
My car's SOH (state of health) was at 63% when the car became 8 bars. AHr was 41.7
*2011 Leaf 1 bought 2/28/15 @ 28,000ish mi 10 bar (8 bars @ 11/25/15 @ 37,453 ) (New lizard @ 39,275 mi @ 1/20/2016) Now 52,166 mi. *Tesla Model S 51,000 mi *2011 Leaf 2 bought 4/28/15 @ 24,000ish mi 12 bar (new lizard Dec. 2014 @ 22,273 mi) Now 35,485 mi
Your Leaf's mileage and SOH is almost identical to my 2012 here in Florida. With the cooler weather I don't expect the 4th bar to drop until spring.
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