GRA
Well-known member
FC stack production capacity is the issue, as their designer said a couple of years ago (I posted the article where he discussed that, I believe in the H2 and FCEV topic two or three years back. Stack production was limited to about 3k/year at that time IIRR by the amount of hand work and inspection required, and they still had high scrappage rates. [Edit] Found it, and here's the link:Oils4AsphaultOnly said:Even if Toyota hits their costs savings (for producing EV's), they probably won't hit their sales target. As a matter of fact, they didn't hit their 2016 (~1000 of 2000) and 2017 (~1800 of 3000) targets! https://www.reuters.com/article/us-toyota-environment/toyota-targets-fuel-cell-car-sales-of-30000-a-year-by-2020-idUSKCN0S80B720151014
2018 YTD sales don't look pretty either (projected to be less than 2017): http://carsalesbase.com/us-car-sales-data/toyota/toyota-mirai/
With such a capable manufacturer, production capacity isn't their issue.
Toyota's desire to increase FCEV production to 30k/year is a sign hubris.
https://insideevs.com/toyota-mirai-production-ceiling-3000-units-per-year/Toyota Mirai Production Ceiling Is 3,000 Units Per Year
Learning how to avoid that and let the machines do the work was the key to scaling up into mass production, and they've put a lot of effort into that. As to not meeting sales projections, sure, prediction is difficult, especially when it's about the future. Just ask Tesla. In the meantime, Toyota can sell lots of Primes at a profit.