Hydrogen has sold a few thousand cars with massive subsidies. If the same subsidies had been allocated to charging, far more DCQC stations would be available.GRA wrote: ↑Tue Nov 23, 2021 9:05 pmWetEV wrote: ↑Sat Nov 06, 2021 6:29 pmSales can't improve faster than production. BEVs have been production constrained during much of the time while market share grew from 0.1% to 2.5%. That's a factor of 25. Best guess is the next decade is close to another factor of 25. Production limited is likely true in the future, worldwide BEV sales will mostly be limited by production.GRA wrote: ↑Sat Nov 06, 2021 4:05 pm
Sure BEVs will continue to improve, the question is will sales improve at the rate they need to reduce the size of the environmental problem we face, without subsidies. So far, the answer is no, in the U.S. and elsewhere, although if gas prices remain at their current levels for a while longer that will help the economic argument.
Yes, they will be, which is why I favor also developing alternative ZEV techs, so that any production and/or resource constraints can be better managed, plus it allows picking the right tool for the job.
Spreading bets on technologies works when you don't know what will win. We know that hydrogen loses for at least decades into the future. So why bet on hydrogen?