LeftieBiker wrote: ↑
Wed Oct 16, 2019 1:54 pm
There is also, of course, regular car leasing. It's more expensive, but you do get a fresh battery (and car) every 2-4 years.
"regular car leasing" .... or, as I like to call it, holding a never-ending bonfire with money.
the gasoline vehicle paradigm that has been out there my whole life seems to be based on providing the payer with not-entirely-safe but certainly in some ways fun transportation from A to B and extracting an overly high price from that payer based on tempting them with gilded carriages, fancy financial footwork, better and more fancy and fun vehicles, and, in the end, very little equity. The way that some people avoid the worst of the financial hit is to eschew the steeper portions of the depreciation curve for a gasoline vehicle. I may be wrong, but part of this is, I think, to eschew leasing. For example, a person can spend $5,000 cash for a used vehicle with 50,000 miles on it, drive it for another 100k or 200k miles, bear the expenses of doing so, and, in the end, undoubtedly spend less than another person who may opt for all the latest bells and whistles, all the time. The cheap used car driver may also have less fun, and perhaps have less safety, though older cars do not necessarily mean joyless transportation.
For longer-range BEVS, it seems like there is the possibility that the good ones will last longer than comparable gasoline vehicles. That is, the length of the depreciation curve may change. I'm not sure if this logically means that a buyer seeking low costs per mile would avoid the earlier part of the curve. If one wants to wait to spend just $3k or $5k on a *good* used BEV, as one might have done for a good used gasoline vehicle, one may have to wait a long time? Still, a wildcard here is the condition of the battery. We know that in an air-cooled Leaf in a hot climate, there is reason to see the depreciation on that battery as a question mark.... I'm not saying it's a certainty that the battery will degrade... I'm saying it's not known with confidence that it will hold up. So, to my mind, that's the sort of limited situation where leasing the battery might make sense, and might in the end give some slight confidence boost to buyers of the chassis that they can be assured that the battery at any given time will meet some minimum standard.