SageBrush wrote:I understand NIssan's reluctance to give up on CHAdeMO in the Japanese market, but it is an albatross everywhere else.
I agree. There is a counter-argument that there are many Chademo chargers installed globally, but Nissan doesn't need to use just one standard worldwide: they produce cars separately on different continents. If they can make left-drive vs right-drive, then they can handle a different plug per continent. So the question for North America is: how many Chademo-only chargers are there in North America vs CCS-only in North America. And how is that number trending? I'd suspect that with the first round of Electrify America, there will already be more CCS-only.
With Nissan LEAF being the only Chademo BEV in production (and 22% of November's non-Tesla BEV sales), I don't see there being _any_ new Chademo-ONLY chargers being installed in North America (other than at Nissan dealers). It would not make any business sense to make a charger that could serve only 22% of potential customers. Similarly, no-one will replace or upgrade a Chademo-only charger without at-least making it dual-plug. So the trend is going to be downwards for Chademo-only in North America. And in every country except Japan.
There could still be a long period where most new commercial chargers are dual-port. But my guess is that there will be some market push-back, once drivers find they only have only one Chademo "pump" at each Electrify America station. They will also charge half as fast as everyone else, and if that pump is out of order, they could be stuck overnight charging with L2. I don't see Chademo availability "falling off a cliff," but I don't see any reason for it to grow, either. So I'm guessing that Nissan will eventually be forced to drop Chademo in the US, but is hanging on to it for now out of inertia and face-saving.