A couple of quotes from Wrights keynote really bother me.
EE|Times aricle wrote:EV batteries currently cost about $1,000 per kilowatt hour
However, according to Deutsche Bank research
that's off by a factor of two.
Deutsche Bank research wrote:The firm notes the average lithium-ion cell price in 2009 has been $650 per kwh, but claims automakers are already seeing bids for $450 per kwh from battery companies for delivery contracts in the 2011/2012 timeframe.
Furthermore, they predict an additional 25% decline in price over the next 5 years and a 50% decline over the next 10 years along with a doubling of performance over the next 7 years.
The second major issue is this...
EE|Times aricle wrote:The good news is trucks, not passenger cars are the biggest consumers of gas. Wright believes medium duty trucks built with his hybrid power train design could pay back its owners investment in three years.
Why did he say gas? I assume he really meant petroleum based fuels, including both diesel and gasoline. That would only make sense when you are looking at medium duty trucks versus passenger cars. Regardless, he's wrong. Passenger cars, in total, consume far more fuel than trucks. If he meant on a per vehicle basis, then he would have a point. But I'll bet the vast majority of those 10M trucks could simply be replaced by medium-duty truck BEVs.