SageBrush wrote: GRA wrote:
Lots of forecasters recognize that the growth is geometric rather than linear.
Wind and Solar
Uh huh, both are far behind many forecasts of where they would be by now. Now that they are generally cost-effective, there's always the possibility that shortages of of raw materials or other issues will further disrupt/delay their "inevitable" exponential growth, just as has happened with every other energy source to date. You name it, oil, natural gas, hydro, nukes, biofuels, wind, solar, tidal, wave, OTEC, everything since coal replaced biomass as the dominant energy source has suffered such disruptions and made lies of the long-term forecasts.