GRA wrote: ↑Wed Dec 30, 2020 8:59 pm
WetEV wrote: ↑Tue Dec 29, 2020 10:27 pm
EVs worldwide have been doubling every 2 to 3 years for quite a while. The USA has a lower EV market share than the world does.
Care to provide a list of countries with higher PEV adoption rates than the U.S., which don't have subsidies/perks/mandates?
Subsidies in other countries make some BEVs harder to find in the USA. Why ship it here when it is more subsidized there? What you would want is another Earth, with no subsidies for BEVs, to compare with. We don't have one...
GRA wrote: ↑Wed Dec 30, 2020 8:59 pm
WetEV wrote: ↑Tue Dec 29, 2020 10:27 pm
EV adoption isn't dependent on subsidies. Does $7,500 matter when buying a Porsche for $200k? And Telsa sells a lot of M3's with no subsidy. What EV subsidies do is speed up the curve, especially at the first.
Oh, come on, we're talking about mass market adoption,
The market is a distribution, not a single point. The place where EVs have an advantage is at the upper end of that distribution. As production of BEVs rises, the cost of a given BEV falls, and lower price BEVs gain advantage, and this will happen repeatingly until the only ICEs left are for the unusual cases, like rural drivers and city people that like to drive to very remote places. The range of advantage moves from the upper end to the upper middle to the middle to the lower middle to the lower. Leaving only the exotic uses and users.
Subsidies can speed this up a bit, and move it around a bit, but don't really change it.
GRA wrote: ↑Wed Dec 30, 2020 8:59 pm
But for the survey respondents who say that the price of BEVs needs to be about $36k, along with the range, charging speed, infrastructure and vehicle type variety required before they'll be mainstream, subsidies are most definitely needed. No
current BEV can meet all their requirements at
any price; innumerable ICEs can.
Fixed that for you. The future is not like today.
GRA wrote: ↑Wed Dec 30, 2020 8:59 pm
WetEV wrote: ↑Tue Dec 29, 2020 10:27 pm
Retrofitting is more expensive, perhaps 2 months rent. L2 might be 4 months rent. No subsidy needed when the demand arrives. Landlords want a lower vacancy rate, and offering things renters want helps that. The demand will arrive, as BEVs are getting both lower priced and more capable. And yes, some apartments will be far more expensive to retrofit. As in only rent this if you have charging at work...
You are far too sanguine about the amount of work required, or the cost. After all, even L1 charging will be the single greatest long-duration load for any apartment, so you're probably talking about a capacity increase of at least 1/2, maybe double. You're almost certainly going to need a new service entrance if not separate meters, permits etc. The one likely cost-saving area is that no one much cares about the esthetics of carports and parking garages, so you can run the wiring in external conduit fixed to the walls/ceilings instead of having them internal. OTOH, the wire runs may be quite long, building codes may require burying wire runs for open parking spaces, and that still leaves the people who have to park curbside SoL.
Block heater outlet was part of rent, parking spots were not assigned and the electric power came from the common meter not from each apartment. It would be more expensive to wire directly to each apartment, so that's what you assume. Sad, and amusing.
L1 charging uses more electric power than block heaters so perhaps it might make sense with assigned parking/charging spots to have a meter per spot. L2, even more so. Or just a bill for a charging capable parking spot. Every case will be different, in some ways.
Remember that some cases will be harder, and perhaps impossible. Do the easy ones first.