DaveinOlyWA wrote: ↑
Thu Dec 31, 2020 8:03 am
Have to agree at least partially. To move from the familiar to the unfamiliar, the standards have to be near perfect; which isn't possible. But that is how we roll. We'd rather suffer the pain we know than learn a new way. It is by word of mouth from friends and family that eventually "talk us off the ledge" which brings our requirements to reasonable levels.
A more telling poll is how many try EVs and then go back to gassers. Remove the ones relocating and ones changing jobs and the rate drops to near zero.
So no, the polls won't ever be as effective as your neighbor or your sibling.
Agreed, word of mouth will be more effective barring compulsion, but WoM tends to be very slow.
Re who goes back to gassers,
Remove the ones relocating and ones changing jobs and the rate drops to near zero
is a problem that no one driving an ICE has to worry about. And we're one of the most mobile societies on the planet, moving an average of 11.7 times in our lives per 2007 data.
Just to put this all into perspective, if it were possible to produce net-zero carbon drop-in liquid syn- or bio-fuels for use in existing ICEs, in the necessary volumes and at prices comparable to fossil fuels, would anyone other than a few cranks be discussing BEVs? Of course not.
BEVs and their infrastructure will continue to improve in both price and capability, and as they do so more and more people will adopt them, until a tipping point is reached. I think it is unrealistic to expect that point until BEVs have eliminated most of the operational disadvantages they currently face vis-a-vis ICEs, claims of overwhelming advantages by enthusiasts notwithstanding, unless they're simply banned from some areas, as is largely responsible for their rapid growth in China, or entirely.