GRA
Posts: 12140
Joined: Mon Sep 19, 2011 1:49 pm
Location: East side of San Francisco Bay

Re: General EV sales topic

Tue Mar 10, 2020 6:15 pm

Both GCC:
US plug-in electric vehicle sales decline in 2019 due to softer PHEV sales; ~2% of market
https://www.greencarcongress.com/2020/0 ... -fotw.html

Following a year of rapid growth in 2018, in which sales nearly doubled from the previous year, sales of plug-in electric vehicles in the US declined in 2019, due to lower sales of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles.

Sales of all-electric vehicles remained steady with a slight increase of about 3,000 more vehicles sold than in 2018. Total plug-in vehicle sales in 2019 were nearly 326,000, or almost 2% of the nearly 17 million vehicles sold that year. . . .

JATO: electrified vehicles 13% of new car reg in Europe in January 2020; electrified vehicles only growth-driver
https://www.greencarcongress.com/2020/0 ... -jato.html

After a large increase of new vehicle registrations in Europe in December 2019, volumes for January decreased, marking another month of transition for the complex new car market. A total of 1,138,057 new passenger cars were registered in Europe in January 2020, representing a decline of 7.6% from January 2019, according to JATO Dynamics. This steep reduction was in large part caused by the last-minute purchases made in December, due to the impending introduction of the new CO2 emissions regulation.

However, despite the decrease from December, January registration levels were the 4th highest for the month for any year in the last decade. EVs were the lifeline. . . .

Electrified vehicles provided the only driver of growth for the market in January. They posted a record in volume and market share due to increasing incentives for consumers, greater awareness about the benefits of electrified vehicles, and the growing concern about diesel and gasoline cars, JATO said.

During the first month of 2020, total electrified vehicle registrations increased by a huge 72%, jumping from 87,100 units posted in January 2019 to 150,100 units in the same month of 2020. This is a market share of 13.3% compared to just 7.1% in the year prior. . . .
Guy [I have lots of experience designing/selling off-grid AE systems, some using EVs but don't own one. Local trips are by foot, bike and/or rapid transit].

The 'best' is the enemy of 'good enough'. Copper shot, not Silver bullets.

GRA
Posts: 12140
Joined: Mon Sep 19, 2011 1:49 pm
Location: East side of San Francisco Bay

Re: General EV sales topic

Sun Mar 15, 2020 4:52 pm

All IEVS:
NEV Sales In China Hit Rock Bottom (Down 75%) In February 2020
https://insideevs.com/news/403995/nev-s ... uary-2020/


Germany Sets Another Plug-In EV Car Sales Record In February 2020
https://insideevs.com/news/404121/germa ... uary-2020/


Hyundai Expanded Plug-In Car EV Sales In February 2020 By 22%
https://insideevs.com/news/404025/hyund ... uary-2020/

The usual graphs.
Guy [I have lots of experience designing/selling off-grid AE systems, some using EVs but don't own one. Local trips are by foot, bike and/or rapid transit].

The 'best' is the enemy of 'good enough'. Copper shot, not Silver bullets.

GRA
Posts: 12140
Joined: Mon Sep 19, 2011 1:49 pm
Location: East side of San Francisco Bay

Re: General EV sales topic

Fri May 29, 2020 5:53 pm

IEVS:
California: Tesla Model 3 Was The Best Selling Car In Q1 2020

https://insideevs.com/news/426084/calif ... ng-q12020/

According to the California New Car Dealers Association, the overall market was 507,646 (down 4.3% year-over-year from 530,402) and the forecast for 2020 is quite depressing - 1.54 million vehicles. . . .

Four all-electric cars were in the forefront of their scategories and two of them were #1:

Tesla Model 3 (18,856, up 19.3%): #1 in Near Luxury (52.2% share)

Tesla Model X (2,826, up 10.9%): #3 in Luxury Mid Size SUV (10.3% share)

Chevrolet Bolt EV (2,654, up 16.1%): #1 in Subcompact (22.2% share)

Tesla Model S (1,561, down 27.0%): #3 in Luxury and High End Sports Cars (11.7% share). . . .

The first quarter of 2020 positively surprised us with the first place among all types of cars, not only passenger but also SUV/trucks, for the all-electric Tesla Model 3:

Tesla Model 3 - 18,856
Honda Civic - 18,001
Toyota Camry - 17,871
Toyoa RAV4 - 17,261
Toyota Corolla - 15,575
Honda Accord - 12,551. . . .
Guy [I have lots of experience designing/selling off-grid AE systems, some using EVs but don't own one. Local trips are by foot, bike and/or rapid transit].

The 'best' is the enemy of 'good enough'. Copper shot, not Silver bullets.

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jlv
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Re: General EV sales topic

Mon Jun 01, 2020 7:30 am

Surely there's still no demand for the Model 3?
LEAF '13 SL+Prem (mfg 12/13, leased 4/14, bought 5/17, sold 11/18) 34K mi, AHr 58, SOH 87%
Tesla S 75D (3/17)
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97K 100% BEV miles since '14
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GRA
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Joined: Mon Sep 19, 2011 1:49 pm
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Re: General EV sales topic

Mon Jun 01, 2020 5:25 pm

I guess people got tired of waiting for the Y, or else they just couldn't afford it.

I suspect the only people buying new cars for the next several months will be those at the higher income levels who kept their jobs, so we may well see a shift towards a higher % of
PEVs in a much smaller market.
Guy [I have lots of experience designing/selling off-grid AE systems, some using EVs but don't own one. Local trips are by foot, bike and/or rapid transit].

The 'best' is the enemy of 'good enough'. Copper shot, not Silver bullets.

cwerdna
Posts: 10976
Joined: Fri Jun 03, 2011 4:31 pm
Delivery Date: 28 Jul 2013
Location: SF Bay Area, CA

Re: General EV sales topic

Mon Jun 01, 2020 5:37 pm

GRA wrote:
Mon Jun 01, 2020 5:25 pm
I suspect the only people buying new cars for the next several months will be those at the higher income levels who kept their jobs, so we may well see a shift towards a higher % of
PEVs in a much smaller market.
Yep. More than 40 million in the US have filed for unemployment since COVID-19 lockdowns/social distancing measures and US unemployment rate when finally updated again is likely ~20%. For those who don't have context about the 40 million, see graph at https://www.cnbc.com/2020/05/28/weekly- ... laims.html.

Those who are unemployed or in danger of losing their jobs will likely not buy any vehicle unless it's absolutely necessary. And, if they do, they might go for something cheap/cheaper.

'19 Bolt Premier
'13 Leaf SV w/premium (owned)
'13 Leaf SV w/QC + LED & premium (lease over)

Please don't PM me with Leaf questions. Just post in the topic that seems most appropriate.

LeftieBiker
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Location: Upstate New York, US

Re: General EV sales topic

Mon Jun 01, 2020 5:41 pm

I suspect the only people buying new cars for the next several months will be those at the higher income levels who kept their jobs, so we may well see a shift towards a higher % of
PEVs in a much smaller market.
You are overlooking the vast retired segment of the population. Those with good pensions are still in good shape. I make less than $35k but I'm looking for an ePlus. Many others will be looking for whatever size and type car they would have sought before the pandemic - maybe a little less expensive, but probably not more.
Scarlet Ember 2018 Leaf SL W/ Pro Pilot
2009 Vectrix VX-1 W/18 Leaf modules, & 3 EZIP E-bicycles.
BAFX OBDII Dongle
PLEASE don't PM me with Leaf questions. Just post in the topic that seems most appropriate.

GRA
Posts: 12140
Joined: Mon Sep 19, 2011 1:49 pm
Location: East side of San Francisco Bay

Re: General EV sales topic

Tue Jun 02, 2020 5:07 pm

I'm not overlooking them, and I doubt cwerdna is either. I expect they'll be cautious about unnecessary purchases, given economic uncertainty and the higher than average possibility of them getting seriously ill from Covid-19.
Last edited by GRA on Tue Jun 02, 2020 5:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Guy [I have lots of experience designing/selling off-grid AE systems, some using EVs but don't own one. Local trips are by foot, bike and/or rapid transit].

The 'best' is the enemy of 'good enough'. Copper shot, not Silver bullets.

GRA
Posts: 12140
Joined: Mon Sep 19, 2011 1:49 pm
Location: East side of San Francisco Bay

Re: General EV sales topic

Tue Jun 02, 2020 5:11 pm

GCC:
Market share of plug-in vehicles in China has more than quadrupled from 2015 to 2019

https://www.greencarcongress.com/2020/0 ... -fotw.html

From 2015 to 2019, the market share of plug-in vehicles in China more than quadrupled, reaching 5.1% in 2019, according to figures presented by the US DOE.

During that same period, Europe saw its plug-in vehicle sales share reach 3.0%. In the US, plug-in vehicle market share in the United States rose from 0.7% to 2.1% in 2018, and then dropped to 1.9% in 2019. . . .
Guy [I have lots of experience designing/selling off-grid AE systems, some using EVs but don't own one. Local trips are by foot, bike and/or rapid transit].

The 'best' is the enemy of 'good enough'. Copper shot, not Silver bullets.

GRA
Posts: 12140
Joined: Mon Sep 19, 2011 1:49 pm
Location: East side of San Francisco Bay

Re: General EV sales topic

Thu Jun 04, 2020 8:00 am

GCC:
JATO Dynamics: 17% of new passenger car registrations in Europe in April were electrified

https://www.greencarcongress.com/2020/0 ... -jato.html

As expected, new car registrations in Europe faced a steady decline in April. Volume fell from 1.34 million units in April 2019 to 292,600 vehicles in April 2020, according to JATO Dynamics. This represents the lowest monthly level since the 1970s, and the worst result among the big three markets: China, USA-Canada, and Europe. . . .

As quarantine was not enforced across all countries, registrations fell at different times and different levels. For instance, in Scandinavia, citizens were granted more freedom of movement, thus registrations fell by 37%, the lowest decrease. In contrast, four of the top five markets saw significant declines following strict lockdown restrictions. Combined registrations in Italy, the UK, Spain and France tumbled from 646,000 units in April 2019 to 34,000 one year later.

EVs: the new safe haven. However, not every aspect of the automotive industry saw a downturn in April. Despite the all-encompassing lockdown that took hold in Q1 and the negative economic indicators, electrified vehicles continued to gain traction. Electrified vehicle registrations totalled 50,400 units, making up 17% of total market share.

Demand fell by 46% compared to April 2019 but it was mostly due to the hybrid cars, which saw a decline of 66% to 18,900 units. Pure electric cars registered a decrease of 29% to 16,700 vehicles, while plug-in hybrids saw almost 14,000 new clients, up by 7%.

Registrations of Volkswagen’s, Volvo’s, Audi’s and Ford’s EVs posted double-digit growth. They were able to gain traction arising from the Volkswagen Passat PHEV (981 units), Up BEV (678 units), Volvo V60 PHEV (897), XC40 PHEV (339 units); Audi E-Tron (1,289 units), A3 PHEV (465); and Ford Puma HEV (1,170 units), Kuga PHEV (753). Other key models such as the Tesla Model 3, Renault Zoe and Nissan Lead registered declines of 37%, 47% and 56% respectively. . . .
Guy [I have lots of experience designing/selling off-grid AE systems, some using EVs but don't own one. Local trips are by foot, bike and/or rapid transit].

The 'best' is the enemy of 'good enough'. Copper shot, not Silver bullets.

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