Why would anyone buy a LEAF?
40kWh LEAF is a month or two away from nationwide availability, and even then, it might not be a Gen 2 body (but who knows). Bolt is likely 6 months away from nationwide availability. Model 3 is at least 18 months away from nationwide availability. If you can wait 2 months, do it and see what Nissan has to offer for 2017. But if you need a car now, what other options do you have that can go 100+ miles and doesn't cost as much as a small house? BMW i3? That's about it.
Dealers are offering up to $7500 contribution in addition to NMAC offering $4000 (purchase) or $10000 (lease). If GM follows the course of the Volt, you're looking at $3200 CCR nationwide and maybe $6400 CCR if you are in a CARB state. So run the comparison:
LEAF: $34200 -$7500 dealer -$4000 nmac -$7500 federal tax credit = $15200
BOLT: $37500 -$7500 federal tax credit = $30000
$14,800 more for the Bolt.
You could buy a CPO Volt AND a brand new LEAF for the price of a new Bolt, which isn't even available yet and probably won't reach nationwide availability until spring of 2017. So the better question is, if you needed an EV/PHEV now, what cheaper option is there than a LEAF?
I'm asking myself that question, and I'm consistently brought back to one answer: Used Volt. Second-gen used Volt pricing is a few months away from being stabilized, so that car is ruled out for now. First-gen Volts are cheap and plentiful. Low mileage 2013 CPOs start at around $13,000. So maybe the plan is to buy a used Volt, drive it for 18 months, then get a new Model 3?
I'm in the same boat. My gas car is on the fritz. It might last long enough for a 40kWh LEAF, but if it doesn't and I need a car, I'm probably picking up a used Volt.
2012 Nissan LEAF SV
20% degradation in 42k miles
Leased 5-17-2012, Returned 1-15-2016
2017 Chevy Volt LT
Siren Red Tintcoat