In 2018, Executive Order B-48-18 set a goal of having 250,000 chargers (including 10,000
direct current fast chargers) by 2025. As of January 4, 2021, California has installed more than
70,000 public and shared chargers, including nearly 6,000 direct current fast chargers. This
report finds that an additional 123,000 are planned, of which about 13,600 are fast chargers,
which leaves a gap of about 57,000 installations, including 430 fast chargers, from
the 250,000 chargers goal.
For passenger vehicle charging in 2030, this report projects over 700,000 public and shared
private chargers are needed to support 5 million ZEVs, and nearly 1.2 million to support about
8 million ZEVs anticipated under Executive Order N-79-20. . . .
- Table 7: Projected Chargers Needed to Support Intraregional Travel for 8 Million Light-Duty ZEVs in 2030
Plug Type Staff Report (Draft) Results (1000 plugs) Revised Staff Report Results (1000 plugs)
-------------------------Low Average High- Low Average High
MUDs (Level 1+2) ---- 258 287 316 ------ 265 330 395
Work (Level 2) -------- 556 572 588 ------ 324 327 330
Public (Level 2) --------600 617.5 635 ---- 466 470 474
All L1 and 2 ---------- 1,414 1,476.5 1,539- 1,055 1,127 1,199
Public (DC FC) ---------- 53.1 54.5 55.9 ------- 30.2 30.6 31
Total Chargers ----- 1,467.1 1,531 1,594.9 1,085.2 1,157.6 1,230
. . . .
Modeling Results
Table 9 shows the number of needed DC fast chargers and stations in 2030 to support the
BEV fleet of more than 5 million vehicles per CARB’s Draft 2020 Mobile Source Strategy.54
These results show that California will need between 2,108 and 7,408 DC fast chargers
(average of 4,758) located at 1,039 to 1,338 stations (average of 1,189) to support electric
interregional travel. These numbers assume drivers will unplug their vehicle from DC fast
chargers when the battery reaches around 80 percent state of charge, as charging power (in
other words, charging speed) diminishes significantly once the battery reaches higher states of
charge.
53 Wood, Eric, Dong-Yeon (D-Y) Lee, Nicholas Reinicke, Yanbo Ge, and Erin Burnell (National Renewable Energy
Laboratory). 2020. “Presentation — Electric Vehicle Infrastructure Projection Tool (EVI-Pro).” Integrated Energy
Policy Report August 6, 2020, Workshop. https://efiling.energy.ca.gov/getdocument.aspx?tn=234215.
54 CARB’s Draft 2020 Mobile Source Strategy calls for nearly 8 million ZEVs in 2030. Of this total, more than 5.2
million are BEVs, and EVI-RoadTrip models only the DC fast charging needs to enable long-distance interregional
travel for these BEVs.
41
Table 9: DC Fast Charging Infrastructure Needed to Support 2030 Interregional
- Electric Travel for BEVs
Result Low Average High
DC Fast Charge Stations 1,039 1,189 1,338
DC Fast Chargers --------- 2,108 4,758 7,408
Source: CEC and National Renewable Energy Laboratory