GaslessInSeattle
Well-known member
- Joined
- May 6, 2011
- Messages
- 1,566
I would agree mostly, and quick charging is a major advancement that can help us begin to make the shift toward energy independence with today's Li-ion technology, just the way it is. the trick is getting people to realize how little they drive on a daily basis, and how adequate today's EV's are.
GRA said:Seeing as how they've been 'on the way' for over 100 years now, although I'll be happy if they arrive I'm not holding my breath. Typically it takes 3-5 years for a new battery to go from the lab to a manufacturer, and another 3-5 years to commercialization.GaslessInSeattle said:There are tens of millions of households that could easily make the Leaf work but can't wrap their mind around the fact that they only drive around 33 miles a day on average, when I say the first major hurdle is psychological, that's what I'm referring to. Something like 60 million households have two cars. While more range will certainly appeal to more people and improve adoption, I think the primary thing holding people back is psychological and quick chargers will help shift the thinking substantially, IMHO. bigger batteries and a quick charging network and yes it will be game over for gas. Fortunately it seems that much more energy dense, less expensive batteries are on the way!
Nor do I think the price of current batteries is likely to drop significantly. Economies of scale will bring them down a bit, but manufacturing is pretty much a known process so I don't see large improvements there, nor do I see large drops in material costs. That leaves technology improvements to bring costs down - see previous paragraph.
So,I think we've got to do what we can to introduce as many people to EVs with current characteristics now, and not assume that we'll see any major battery improvements in the next five years or so.