chuck58 said:
I think the LEAF suffers from a combination of problems. First the infrastructure of charging stations at malls, workplace, parking garages has been very slow to come about, so you are stuck with the whole round trip problem to get back home to recharge. Second are the hybrids, specifically the Prius or its more expensive cousin the Lexus CT200h. These cars get in the 50 mpg range and the cost of gas for driving 12000 miles is 240 gallons of gas a year. Using $4.00 a gallon (a little higher than what today's cost is) an the annual cost is $960, or $500 more than all electric miles. Yes there are other costs of oil changes, etc. but for most people the hybrids are the best compromise without range anxiety and a price point that you get a decent vehicle with nice features, and thousands less than the LEAF, even with the tax incentive. So the LEAF will be a niche car unless gas goes to $12.00 a gallon which would cripple the economy
Remember that battery prices are falling. Even if gasoline stays at $4, BEVs like the Leaf get far more competitive as the battery price falls.
Expect gasoline prices to rise with time, but not smoothly. Oil price will jump up and down, depending on politics, wars in the Mideast and a long list of other factors. The economy will eventually need to adjust to $12 gasoline somehow. How? BEVs are part of the answer, replacing trucking with rail are another, changing expectations and habits a third.