evnow wrote:Nissan will want to sell atleast 30K cars in the US in the first year - so an average of 2.5K cars a month. We have, at that rate 4 months of total reservations at this point. Everyone who has reserved a car & is in the launching states, will get the car latest by 2011 March.
First, don't be misled by averages. Nissan says they want to produce 50K cars the first year, but have a capacity to produce no more than 12K by March, which is four months. That says they are ramping up, which makes sense. My guess is that no more than a thousand will be on the road by the end of the year.
Second, don't confuse "launching areas" with "launching states". California, for example, is a huge state. I'd be willing to bet there are remote parts of it where you are unlikely to be able to get a Leaf at all in 2011, except by planning a several hundred mile trip to get it home.
So, yes, end of March may be a good guess, if you are close to a launching area, but don't count on getting your Leaf much earlier than that.
rat wrote:Where are you located? Unless you're in one of the core cities like San Diego you probably won't be able to take actual delivery of the car or even get the charger until 2012, and maybe even a good chunk of those who are in those cities will not either, so I would guess that might simply things for your decision making.
Sounds like we agree on the car, but maybe not on the charging adapter: I think anyone who wants one will be able to get it before the end of this year, and should plan to do that because otherwise you get no tax credit.