lpickup wrote:I believe the EV market is poised to undergo significant exponential growth (provided automakers are willing to actually build the damn things!)
Your guess! And the reality as viewed by most market analysts;
https://seekingalpha.com/article/426491 ... ?dr=1#alt2
The main barriers to EV adoption, particularly in sales regions with low or no subsidies, incentives and benefits, are high price and insurance premiums, followed by range, particularly during the winter season, and the lack of ubiquitous and convenient city and roadside charging infrastructure. The existing strata of high net worth individuals in the aforementioned global growth regions are too small to effect a swift substantial fleet rotation away from ICEVs. For most consumers in those regions, used cars and low-priced ICEVs will remain the dominant vehicle type of choice, the car being the costliest discretionary purchase for most households.
lpickup wrote:Tesla has already shown that the Model 3 is capable of competing with conventional vehicles, so we are entering the era where EVs as a whole will start to take over non-EV segments, at which point you can just call it a "market leader" and dispense with the whole EV qualifier.
The sustainability has yet to be proven.
lpickup wrote: It would be nice if a company like VW with their enormous resources and manufacturing capacity could truly escort us into the EV realm, but if they're not willing to, I'm sure there are some Chinese companies that would be more than happy to (if we can get beyond this whole trade war
VW obviously doesn't perceive the EV market as you do, and the typical automotive consumer likewise.
#1 Leaf SL MY 9/13: 76K miles, 47 Ahrs, 5.0 miles/kWh (average), Hx=70, SOH=73, L2 - 100% > 1000, temp < 95F, (DOD) > 20 Ahrs
#2 Leaf SL MY 12/18: 10.3K miles, SOH 109Ahrs/115Ahrs, 5.2 miles/kWh (average), DOD > 20%, temp < 105F