GRA said:
Of course, such forecasts are a dime a dozen and it's easy to find one that agrees with someone's personal opinions, given the wide spread in predicted dates in these forecasts. But I do seem to recall I've mentioned, just a few times, _my_ opinion that PEV sales are still primarily driven by government subsidies and mandates rather than natural customer demand - perhaps you remember this?
Reality is different, of course. At least more complex. At least in the USA, performance electric cars are the majority of the market.
People don't buy Taycans because of any subsidy. Same with Tesla, perhaps even more so, as there is no Federal subsidy.
Is there any mandate for a high performance sports car? Really?
The highest selling non-Tesla is the Chevy Bolt, no Federal subsidy.
For the majority of the BEV market, subsidies and mandates are no longer large factors.
Sure, some states have subsidies. Washington has a sales tax reduction. But again, not a large factor.
Washington registration taxes on EVs are higher.
The world has changed. Will you?